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Bonus Jackpot -- Version 5

Introduction

What I call version 5 of Bonus Jackpot is a progressive "red light" side bet I noticed on two games, blackjack and Super Three Card, at the Rampart casino on February 2, 2019. A reader submitted a picture of another pay table found elsewhere.

Rules

Bonus Jackpot is a side bet that can be tacked onto any game that uses at least three decks. I believe it was intended for six- and eight-deck games. I believe the bet amount can be $1 or $5. Wins in blackjack, as well as Super Three Card, are based on the player's initial two cards and the dealer's up card. Following are the two known pay tables based on $1 bets.

Pay Table 1

Event Pays
Suited three of a kind (J-K) Jackpot
Suited three of a kind (all other) $125
Straight flush $25
Three of a kind (unsuited) $20
Straight $6
Flush $2

Following is pay table 2 based on a $1 bet.

Pay Table 2

Event Pays
Suited suited aces Jackpot
Suited three of a kind (all other) $125
Straight flush $25
Three of a kind (unsuited) $20
Straight $6
Flush $2

Pay Table 1 Analysis

The following table shows my analysis for a six-deck game using pay table 1 on a $1 bet.

Pay Table 1 — Six Decks

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Suited three of a kind (J-K) Jackpot 240 0.000048 ?
Suited three of a kind (all other) 125 800 0.000160 0.019947
Straight flush 25 10,368 0.002068 0.051702
Three of a kind (unsuited) 20 25,272 0.005041 0.100819
Straight 6 155,520 0.031021 0.186128
Flush 2 292,896 0.058424 0.116847
All other 0 4,528,224 0.903239 0.000000
Total   5,013,320 1.000000 0.475444 + ?

The six-deck table above shows that the fixed wins contribute 47.54% to the return. At a $1 bet, for every $1,000 in the jackpot, the return goes up by 4.79%. The break-even meter point for a $1 bet is $10,957.37. At a $5 bet, for every $1,000 in the jackpot, the return goes up by 0.96%. The break-even meter point for a $5 bet is $54,786.83.

The following table shows my analysis for an eight-deck game.

Pay Table 1 — Eight Decks

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Suited three of a kind (J-K) Jackpot 672 0.000056 ?
Suited three of a kind (all other) 125 2,240 0.000188 0.023505
Straight flush 25 24,576 0.002063 0.051578
Three of a kind (unsuited) 20 61,568 0.005169 0.103370
Straight 6 368,640 0.030947 0.185679
Flush 2 700,928 0.058841 0.117683
All other 0 10,753,536 0.902736 0.000000
Total   11,912,160 1.000000 0.481815 + ?

The eight-deck table above shows that the fixed wins contribute 48.18% to the return. At a $1 bet, for every $1,000 in the jackpot, the return goes up by 5.64%. The break-even meter point for a $1 bet is $9,185.57. At a $5 bet, for every $1,000 in the jackpot, the return goes up by 1.13%. The break-even meter point for a $5 bet is $45,927.86.

Pay Table 2 Analysis

The following table shows my analysis for a six-deck game using pay table 2 on a $1 bet.

Pay Table 2 — Six Decks

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Suited suited aces Jackpot 60 0.000012 ?
Suited three of a kind (all other) 125 600 0.000120 0.014960
Straight flush 25 10,368 0.002068 0.051702
Three of a kind (unsuited) 20 25,272 0.005041 0.100819
Straight 6 155,520 0.031021 0.186128
Flush 2 293,276 0.058499 0.116999
All other 0 4,528,224 0.903239 0.000000
Total   5,013,320 1.000000 0.470609 + ?

The six-deck table above shows that the fixed wins contribute 47.06% to the return. At a $1 bet, for every $1,000 in the jackpot, the return goes up by 1.20%. The break-even meter point for a $1 bet is $44,233.47 . At a $5 bet, for every $1,000 in the jackpot, the return goes up by 0.24%. The break-even meter point for a $5 bet is $221,167.33.

The following table shows my analysis of pay table 2 for an eight-deck game.

Pay Table 2 — Eight Decks

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Suited suited aces Jackpot 168 0.000014 ?
Suited three of a kind (all other) 125 1,680 0.000141 0.017629
Straight flush 25 24,576 0.002063 0.051578
Three of a kind (unsuited) 20 61,568 0.005169 0.103370
Straight 6 368,640 0.030947 0.185679
Flush 2 701,992 0.058931 0.117861
All other 0 10,753,536 0.902736 0.000000
Total   11,912,160 1.000000 0.476117 + ?

The eight-deck table above shows that the fixed wins contribute 47.61% to the return. At a $1 bet, for every $1,000 in the jackpot, the return goes up by 1.41%. The break-even meter point for a $1 bet is $37,146.29. At a $5 bet, for every $1,000 in the jackpot, the return goes up by 0.28%. The break-even meter point for a $5 bet is $185,731.43.

Internal Links

Versions 1 to 4 of Bonus Jackpot.

External Links

Discussion of Bonus Jackpot in my forum at Wizard of Vegas.