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Royal Match
Introduction
The royal match is a simple bet that pays a bonus if the first two cards are suited (an easy match) and a top bonus for a suited king and queen (a royal match). Below are probability tables for various versions I have seen through the years.
Royal Match — Version 1 — Six Decks
Event | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
Royal match | 25 | 144 | 0.002968 | 0.074202 |
Easy match | 2.5 | 11,868 | 0.244620 | 0.611551 |
No match | -1 | 36,504 | 0.752412 | -0.752412 |
Total | 48,516 | 1.000000 | -0.066658 |
Royal Match — Version 2 — One Deck
Event | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
Royal match | 10 | 4 | 0.003017 | 0.030166 |
Easy match | 3 | 308 | 0.232278 | 0.696833 |
No match | -1 | 1,014 | 0.764706 | -0.764706 |
Total | 1,326 | 1.000000 | -0.037707 |
The following table displays the house edge for each version given the number of decks used.
Royal Match House Edge
Number of Decks | Version 1 | Version 2 |
---|---|---|
1 | 0.108597 | 0.037707 |
2 | 0.083271 | 0.008215 |
4 | 0.070792 | -0.006317 |
6 | 0.066658 | -0.011130 |
8 | 0.064597 | -0.013531 |
The probabilities for the royal match are easy to derive.Lets use n for the number of decks of cards. The number of two card combinations is combin(52×n,2). The number of ways to make a royal match is 4*n2. This is because there are 4 suits and n ways to choose the queen and n ways to choose the king. The number of ways to make an easy match is 4×(combin(13×n,2)-n2). The 4 is the number of suits and combin(13×n,2) is the number of ways to arrange 2cards from a given suit. You must also subtract the number of ways to make a royal match.
The probability of an easy match is 4×(combin(13×n,2)-n2)/combin(52×n,2).
The probability of a royal match is 4×n2/combin(52×n,2).
Royal Match - Version 3
In a third version there is a separate pay for a suited blackjack as follows.
- Royal Match pays 25 to 1
- Suited Blackjack pays 5 to 1
- Easy Match pays 5 to 2
The following table shows the expected value for a 6-deck game is -3.70%.
Royal Match Version 3- Six Decks
Hand | Combinations | Probability | Pays | Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
Royal match | 144 | 0.002968 | 25 | 0.074202 |
Suited blackjack | 576 | 0.011872 | 5 | 0.059362 |
All other matches | 11292 | 0.232748 | 2.5 | 0.58187 |
Loss | 36504 | 0.752412 | -1 | -0.752412 |
Total | 48516 | 1 | -0.036977 |
The next table shows the house edge for various number of decks for version 3.
Royal Match Version 3- 1 to 8 Decks
Decks | House Edge |
---|---|
1 | 7.84% |
2 | 5.34% |
3 | 4.52% |
4 | 4.11% |
5 | 3.86% |
6 | 3.70% |
7 | 3.58% |
8 | 3.49% |
Royal Match - Version 4
The Shufflemaster TMS 300 is an electronic blackjack game, played facing a giant video screen of a dealer. It features a Royal Match side bet, adding a pay for the player and dealer both having a royal match. Following is the return table for six decks.
Royal Match — Version 4 — Six Decks
Event | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
Player and Dealer Royal Match | 1000 | 19152 | 0.000008 | 0.008242 |
Player royal match | 25 | 6877728 | 0.00296 | 0.073996 |
Suited | 2.5 | 568417860 | 0.24462 | 0.611551 |
Loser | -1 | 1748359080 | 0.752412 | -0.752412 |
Total | 2323673820 | 1 | -0.058622 |
The next table shows the house edge by number of decks.
Royal Match — Version 4 — 1-8 Decks
Number of Decks |
House Edge |
---|---|
1 | 10.14% |
2 | 7.59% |
3 | 6.73% |
4 | 6.3% |
5 | 6.04% |
6 | 5.86% |
7 | 5.74% |
8 | 5.64% |
Royal Match — Version 5
Version 5 of the Royal Match is a progressive jackpot on ShuffleMaster TableMax units. These are the electronic blackjack games with a big screen, usually showing a pretty and very buxom dealer.
In this version, the side bet is always $1. It pays a progressive jackpot for a "Crown Treasure," which is both the dealer and player having a Royal Match. Smaller pays are $60 for a player only royal match, and $10 for a player straight flush, which I assume means the player's first two cards are suited and consecutive, including A-2.
There is also a $500 envy bonus, which pays if you make the side bet, and another player gets a Crown Treasure. The other player does not have to make the side bet for other players to qualify for the Envy Bonus.
The following table shows a hypothetical return table, for six decks, a $10,000 jackpot, and no other players.
Six-Deck Progressive Royal Match — $10,000 Jackpot and No Other Players
Event | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
Crown Treasure | $10,000 | 19,152.00 | 0.000008 | 0.082421 |
Royal Match | $60 | 6,877,728.00 | 0.002960 | 0.177591 |
Straight Flush | $10 | 82,762,560.00 | 0.035617 | 0.356171 |
Loser | $0 | 2,234,014,380.00 | 0.961415 | 0.000000 |
Total | 2,323,673,820.00 | 1.000000 | 0.616183 |
The general formula for the return in a six-deck game is 0.533762 + 0.082421×j + 0.004121× p, where j is the jackpot divided by $10,000, and p is the number of other players (not counting yourself).
The next table shows the breakeven points, in which the expected return is exactly 100%, given the number of other players, in a six-deck game.
Progressive Royal Match Breakeven Points
Other Players | Breakeven Point |
---|---|
6 | $53,567.70 |
5 | $54,067.70 |
4 | $54,567.70 |
3 | $55,067.70 |
2 | $55,567.70 |
1 | $56,067.70 |
0 | $56,567.70 |
Version 6
On January 29, 2021, at the Rampart casino in Las Vegas I noticed yet another version of Royal Match. This one had a simple 2-50 pay table, but threw in a $1,000 bonus if both the player and dealer have a Royal Match. Before considering that bonus, here is the return table, based on the player's hand only and six decks.
Royal Match — Version 6 — Six Decks
Event | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
Royal match | 50 | 144 | 0.002968 | 0.148405 |
Two suited cards | 2 | 11,868 | 0.244620 | 0.489241 |
All other | -1 | 36,504 | 0.752412 | -0.752412 |
Total | 48,516 | 1.000000 | -0.114766 |
The table above shows a house edge of 11.48%.
There is a $1,000 bonus if both the player and dealer have a Royal Match. In a six-deck game, the probability of that is 1 in 121,328. This makes the value of bonus $0.008242121, or about 82% of a penny.
The next table shows the expected return with the Crown Treasure for various bet amounts. Remember, the Crown Treasure bonus is a fixed $1,000, so the value of the bet decreases as the bet size goes up.
Return with Crown Treasure
Bet | Return |
---|---|
$25 | -0.114437 |
$10 | -0.113942 |
$5 | -0.113118 |
$1 | -0.106524 |
The final version 6 table shows the expected return by number of decks and the fixed value of the Crown Treasure (CT) bonus.
Version 6 Summary
Decks | Return | Value CT |
---|---|---|
1 | -0.149321 | 0.007388 |
2 | -0.128454 | 0.007539 |
6 | -0.114766 | 0.008242 |
8 | -0.113068 | 0.008360 |