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Jumbo Keno Progressive
Introduction
Stations Casinos of Las Vegas offer five progressive keno games. Four of them, a pick-6, pick-7, pick-8, and pick-9 are called "Jumbo Keno Progressive" games. The fifth, a pick-10 game, is referred to as the Mega 10. The rule card indicates the Mega 10 is not exclusive to Station Casinos, but could be found other places in Nevada. All Jumbo Progressive games are exclusively for $1 bets and the Mega 10 is $1.50.
Pick 6
The following table shows the probability and contribution to the return for the Pick 6 Jumbo Keno Progressive. In the table, the value for the progressive jackpot for catching all six numbers is left at zero. The lower right cell shows the value of the fixed pays 40.36%.
Pick 6 Jumbo Keno Progressive
| Catch | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | $0 | 38,760 | 0.000129 | 0.000000 |
| 5 | $70 | 930,240 | 0.003096 | 0.216695 |
| 4 | $2 | 8,575,650 | 0.028538 | 0.057076 |
| 3 | $1 | 39,010,800 | 0.129820 | 0.129820 |
| 2 | $0 | 92,650,650 | 0.308321 | 0.000000 |
| 1 | $0 | 109,230,240 | 0.363495 | 0.000000 |
| 0 | $0 | 50,063,860 | 0.166602 | 0.000000 |
| Total | 300,500,200 | 1.000000 | 0.403590 |
For every $1,000 in the progressive meter, the return goes up by 12.90%. To reach a break-even point, with a 100% return, the meter would have to $4,623.87.
Pick 7
The following table shows the probability and contribution to the return for the Pick 7 Jumbo Keno Progressive. In the table, the value for the progressive jackpot for catching all seven numbers is left at zero. The lower right cell shows the value of the fixed pays 44.98%.
Pick 7 Jumbo Keno Progressive
| Catch | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | $0 | 77,520 | 0.000024 | 0.000000 |
| 6 | $200 | 2,325,600 | 0.000732 | 0.146415 |
| 5 | $15 | 27,442,080 | 0.008639 | 0.129578 |
| 4 | $1 | 165,795,900 | 0.052191 | 0.052191 |
| 3 | $0 | 555,903,900 | 0.174993 | 0.000000 |
| 2 | $0 | 1,037,687,280 | 0.326654 | 0.000000 |
| 1 | $0 | 1,001,277,200 | 0.315193 | 0.000000 |
| 0 | $1 | 386,206,920 | 0.121574 | 0.121574 |
| Total | 3,176,716,400 | 1.000000 | 0.449758 |
For every $1,000 in the progressive meter, the return goes up by 2.44%. To reach a break-even point, with a 100% return, the meter would have to $22,548.53.
Pick 8
The following table shows the probability and contribution to the return for the Pick 8 Jumbo Keno Progressive. In the table, the value for the progressive jackpot for catching all eight numbers is left at zero. The lower right cell shows the value of the fixed pays 50.97%.
Pick 8 Jumbo Keno Progressive
| Event | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | $0 | 125,970 | 0.000004 | 0.000000 |
| 7 | $1500 | 4,651,200 | 0.000160 | 0.240683 |
| 6 | $75 | 68,605,200 | 0.002367 | 0.177504 |
| 5 | $5 | 530,546,880 | 0.018303 | 0.091513 |
| 4 | $0 | 2,362,591,575 | 0.081504 | 0.000000 |
| 3 | $0 | 6,226,123,680 | 0.214786 | 0.000000 |
| 2 | $0 | 9,512,133,400 | 0.328146 | 0.000000 |
| 1 | $0 | 7,724,138,400 | 0.266464 | 0.000000 |
| 0 | $0 | 2,558,620,845 | 0.088266 | 0.000000 |
| Total | 28,987,537,150 | 1.000000 | 0.509699 |
For every $10,000 in the progressive meter, the return goes up by 4.35%. To reach a break-even point, with a 100% return, the meter would have to $112,825.38.
Pick 9
The following table shows the probability and contribution to the return for the Pick 9 Jumbo Keno Progressive. In the table, the value for the progressive jackpot for catching all nine numbers is left at zero. The lower right cell shows the value of the fixed pays 65.88%.
Pick 9 Jumbo Keno Progressive
| Catch | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | $0 | 167,960 | 0.000001 | 0.000000 |
| 8 | $3000 | 7,558,200 | 0.000033 | 0.097777 |
| 7 | $300 | 137,210,400 | 0.000592 | 0.177504 |
| 6 | $30 | 1,326,367,200 | 0.005720 | 0.171587 |
| 5 | $3 | 7,560,293,040 | 0.032601 | 0.097804 |
| 4 | $1 | 26,461,025,640 | 0.114105 | 0.114105 |
| 3 | $0 | 57,072,800,400 | 0.246109 | 0.000000 |
| 2 | $0 | 73,379,314,800 | 0.316426 | 0.000000 |
| 1 | $0 | 51,172,416,900 | 0.220666 | 0.000000 |
| 0 | $0 | 14,783,142,660 | 0.063748 | 0.000000 |
| Total | 231,900,297,200 | 1.000000 | 0.658777 |
For every $10,000 in the progressive meter, the return goes up by 7.24%. To reach a break-even point, with a 100% return, the meter would have to $471,122.03.
Mega 10
The following table shows the probability and contribution to the return for the Mega 10 Keno Progressive. Unlike the games above, the Mega 10 costs $1.50 to play. In the table, the value for the progressive jackpot for catching all ten numbers is left at zero. The lower right cell shows the value of the fixed pays 35.62% of the amount bet.
Mega 10 Keno Progressive
| Event | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | $0 | 184,756 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 |
| 9 | $7,500.00 | 10,077,600 | 0.000006 | 0.030603 |
| 8 | $1,000.00 | 222,966,900 | 0.000135 | 0.090280 |
| 7 | $100.00 | 2,652,734,400 | 0.001611 | 0.107410 |
| 6 | $10.00 | 18,900,732,600 | 0.011479 | 0.076529 |
| 5 | $1.50 | 84,675,282,048 | 0.051428 | 0.051428 |
| 4 | $0 | 242,559,401,700 | 0.147319 | 0.000000 |
| 3 | $0 | 440,275,888,800 | 0.267402 | 0.000000 |
| 2 | $0 | 486,137,960,550 | 0.295257 | 0.000000 |
| 1 | $0 | 295,662,853,200 | 0.179571 | 0.000000 |
| 0 | 75,394,027,566 | 0.045791 | 0.000000 | |
| Total | 1,646,492,110,120 | 1.000000 | 0.356249 |
For every $1,000,000 in the progressive meter, the return goes up by 7.48%. To reach a break-even point, with a 100% return, the meter would have to $8,605,379.94.
External Links
Discussion about the Jumbo Keno Progressive in my forum at Wizard of Vegas.