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Mines
Introduction
Mines is a simple game of chance involving clicking on fields in a 5x5 grid, hoping to avoid hidden mines. The more you safely pick and the more mines to avoid, the more you win. As far as I know, the game can be played exclusively at BetFury.
Rules
- The game is played on a 5x5 grid.
- The player starts by making a bet and choosing a number of mines to be hidden in the grid, from 1 to 24.
- Spaces in the grid not occupided by a mine will have a diamond.
- Then, the player will pick spaces in the grid, with the object of avoiding the mines.
- As the player successfully find diamonds, his win will usually increase.
- After each turn, the player may choose to cash out or pick another space, as long as there are more diamonds to be found.
The following table shows the win for by number of diamonds found for 1 to 6 total mines. Wins are on a "for one" basis.
One to Six Mines
Diamonds Found |
One Mine |
Two Mines |
Three Mines |
Four Mines |
Five Mines |
Six Mines |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1.03 | 1.03 | 1.07 | 1.13 | 1.18 | 1.25 |
2 | 1.04 | 1.12 | 1.23 | 1.35 | 1.5 | 1.66 |
3 | 1.05 | 1.23 | 1.41 | 1.64 | 1.91 | 2.25 |
4 | 1.05 | 1.35 | 1.64 | 2 | 2.48 | 3.1 |
5 | 1.06 | 1.5 | 1.91 | 2.48 | 3.25 | 4.34 |
6 | 1.07 | 1.66 | 2.25 | 3.1 | 4.34 | 6.2 |
7 | 1.07 | 1.86 | 2.67 | 3.92 | 5.89 | 9.06 |
8 | 1.08 | 2.09 | 3.21 | 5.04 | 8.15 | 13.59 |
9 | 1.09 | 2.37 | 3.9 | 6.6 | 11.55 | 21 |
10 | 1.1 | 2.71 | 4.8 | 8.8 | 16.8 | 33.61 |
11 | 1.12 | 3.13 | 6 | 12 | 25.21 | 56.02 |
12 | 1.14 | 3.65 | 7.63 | 16.8 | 39.21 | 98.04 |
13 | 1.16 | 4.31 | 9.93 | 24.27 | 63.72 | 182 |
14 | 1.19 | 5.18 | 13.24 | 36.41 | 109.25 | 364.16 |
15 | 1.23 | 6.33 | 18.2 | 57.22 | 200.29 | 801.16 |
16 | 1.28 | 7.91 | 26.01 | 95.37 | 400.58 | 2000 |
17 | 1.34 | 10.17 | 39.01 | 171.67 | 901.31 | 6001 |
18 | 1.44 | 13.57 | 62.42 | 343.55 | 2400 | 24004 |
19 | 1.59 | 19 | 109.25 | 801.16 | 8410 | 168000 |
20 | 1.82 | 28.5 | 218.5 | 2400 | 50470 | |
21 | 2.24 | 47.5 | 546.25 | 12020 | ||
22 | 3.06 | 95 | 2190 | |||
23 | 5.12 | 285 | ||||
24 | 23.74 |
The following table shows the win for by number of diamonds found for 7 to 12 total mines. Wins are on a "for one" basis.
7 to 12 Mines
Diamonds Found |
7 Mines |
8 Mines |
9 Mines |
10 Mines |
11 Mines |
12 Mines |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1.31 | 1.39 | 1.48 | 1.58 | 1.69 | 1.82 |
2 | 1.86 | 2.09 | 2.37 | 2.71 | 3.13 | 3.65 |
3 | 2.67 | 3.21 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 6 | 7.63 |
4 | 3.92 | 5.04 | 6.6 | 8.8 | 12 | 16.8 |
5 | 5.89 | 8.15 | 11.5 | 16.8 | 25.21 | 39.21 |
6 | 9.06 | 13.59 | 21 | 33.61 | 56.02 | 98.04 |
7 | 14.34 | 23.48 | 39.91 | 70.96 | 133.06 | 266.12 |
8 | 23.48 | 42.26 | 79.83 | 159.67 | 342.15 | 798.36 |
9 | 39.91 | 79.83 | 169.65 | 387.77 | 969.44 | 2710 |
10 | 70.96 | 159.67 | 387.77 | 1030 | 3100 | 10860 |
11 | 133.06 | 342.15 | 969.44 | 3100 | 11630 | 54290 |
12 | 266.12 | 798.36 | 2710 | 10860 | 54290 | 380000 |
13 | 576.59 | 2080 | 8820 | 47050 | 353000 | 4940000 |
14 | 1380 | 6230 | 35290 | 282000 | 4230000 | |
15 | 3810 | 22830 | 194000 | 3110000 | ||
16 | 12690 | 114000 | 1940000 | |||
17 | 57080 | 1030000 | ||||
18 | 457000 |
The following table shows the win for by number of diamonds found for 13 to 18 total mines. Wins are on a "for one" basis.
13 to 18 Mines
Diamonds Found |
13 Mines |
14 Mines |
15 Mines |
16 Mines |
17 Mines |
18 Mines |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1.97 | 2.15 | 2.51 | 2.63 | 2.96 | 3.39 |
2 | 4.31 | 5.18 | 6.33 | 7.91 | 10.17 | 13.57 |
3 | 9.93 | 13.24 | 18.2 | 26.01 | 39.01 | 62.42 |
4 | 24.27 | 36.41 | 57.22 | 95.37 | 171.67 | 343.35 |
5 | 63.72 | 109.25 | 200.29 | 458 | 901.31 | 2400 |
6 | 182.08 | 364.16 | 801.16 | 2000 | 6010 | 24030 |
7 | 576.59 | 1380 | 3810 | 12690 | 57080 | 457000 |
8 | 2080 | 6230 | 22830 | 114000 | 1030000 | |
9 | 8820 | 35290 | 193000 | 1940000 | ||
10 | 47050 | 282000 | 3100000 | |||
11 | 353000 | 4230000 | ||||
12 | 4940000 |
The following table shows the win for by number of diamonds found for 19 to 24 total mines. Wins are on a "for one" basis.
19 to 24 Mines
Diamonds Found |
19 Mines |
20 Mines |
21 Mines |
22 Mines |
23 Mines |
24 Mines |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 3.95 | 4.75 | 5.93 | 7.91 | 11.87 | 23.75 |
2 | 19 | 28.5 | 47.5 | 95 | 285 | |
3 | 109.25 | 218.5 | 546.25 | 2190 | ||
4 | 801.16 | 2400 | 12020 | |||
5 | 8410 | 50470 | ||||
6 | 168000 |
Analysis
The following table shows the probability of winning and expected return for all combinations of mines and picks.
Mines Analysis
Mines | Picks | Pays | Prob. Win | Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | 1.03 | 0.960000 | 0.988800 |
1 | 2 | 1.04 | 0.920000 | 0.956800 |
1 | 3 | 1.05 | 0.880000 | 0.924000 |
1 | 4 | 1.05 | 0.840000 | 0.882000 |
1 | 5 | 1.06 | 0.800000 | 0.848000 |
1 | 6 | 1.07 | 0.760000 | 0.813200 |
1 | 7 | 1.07 | 0.720000 | 0.770400 |
1 | 8 | 1.08 | 0.680000 | 0.734400 |
1 | 9 | 1.09 | 0.640000 | 0.697600 |
1 | 10 | 1.1 | 0.600000 | 0.660000 |
1 | 11 | 1.12 | 0.560000 | 0.627200 |
1 | 12 | 1.14 | 0.520000 | 0.592800 |
1 | 13 | 1.16 | 0.480000 | 0.556800 |
1 | 14 | 1.19 | 0.440000 | 0.523600 |
1 | 15 | 1.23 | 0.400000 | 0.492000 |
1 | 16 | 1.28 | 0.360000 | 0.460800 |
1 | 17 | 1.34 | 0.320000 | 0.428800 |
1 | 18 | 1.44 | 0.280000 | 0.403200 |
1 | 19 | 1.59 | 0.240000 | 0.381600 |
1 | 20 | 1.82 | 0.200000 | 0.364000 |
1 | 21 | 2.24 | 0.160000 | 0.358400 |
1 | 22 | 3.06 | 0.120000 | 0.367200 |
1 | 23 | 5.12 | 0.080000 | 0.409600 |
1 | 24 | 23.74 | 0.040000 | 0.949600 |
2 | 1 | 1.03 | 0.920000 | 0.947600 |
2 | 2 | 1.12 | 0.843333 | 0.944533 |
2 | 3 | 1.23 | 0.770000 | 0.947100 |
2 | 4 | 1.35 | 0.700000 | 0.945000 |
2 | 5 | 1.5 | 0.633333 | 0.950000 |
2 | 6 | 1.66 | 0.570000 | 0.946200 |
2 | 7 | 1.86 | 0.510000 | 0.948600 |
2 | 8 | 2.09 | 0.453333 | 0.947467 |
2 | 9 | 2.37 | 0.400000 | 0.948000 |
2 | 10 | 2.71 | 0.350000 | 0.948500 |
2 | 11 | 3.13 | 0.303333 | 0.949433 |
2 | 12 | 3.65 | 0.260000 | 0.949000 |
2 | 13 | 4.31 | 0.220000 | 0.948200 |
2 | 14 | 5.18 | 0.183333 | 0.949667 |
2 | 15 | 6.33 | 0.150000 | 0.949500 |
2 | 16 | 7.91 | 0.120000 | 0.949200 |
2 | 17 | 10.17 | 0.093333 | 0.949200 |
2 | 18 | 13.57 | 0.070000 | 0.949900 |
2 | 19 | 19 | 0.050000 | 0.950000 |
2 | 20 | 28.5 | 0.033333 | 0.950000 |
2 | 21 | 47.5 | 0.020000 | 0.950000 |
2 | 22 | 95 | 0.010000 | 0.950000 |
2 | 23 | 285 | 0.003333 | 0.950000 |
3 | 1 | 1.07 | 0.880000 | 0.941600 |
3 | 2 | 1.23 | 0.770000 | 0.947100 |
3 | 3 | 1.41 | 0.669565 | 0.944087 |
3 | 4 | 1.64 | 0.578261 | 0.948348 |
3 | 5 | 1.91 | 0.495652 | 0.946696 |
3 | 6 | 2.25 | 0.421304 | 0.947935 |
3 | 7 | 2.67 | 0.354783 | 0.947270 |
3 | 8 | 3.21 | 0.295652 | 0.949043 |
3 | 9 | 3.9 | 0.243478 | 0.949565 |
3 | 10 | 4.8 | 0.197826 | 0.949565 |
3 | 11 | 6 | 0.158261 | 0.949565 |
3 | 12 | 7.63 | 0.124348 | 0.948774 |
3 | 13 | 9.93 | 0.095652 | 0.949826 |
3 | 14 | 13.24 | 0.071739 | 0.949826 |
3 | 15 | 18.2 | 0.052174 | 0.949565 |
3 | 16 | 26.01 | 0.036522 | 0.949930 |
3 | 17 | 39.01 | 0.024348 | 0.949809 |
3 | 18 | 62.42 | 0.015217 | 0.949870 |
3 | 19 | 109.25 | 0.008696 | 0.950000 |
3 | 20 | 218.5 | 0.004348 | 0.950000 |
3 | 21 | 546.25 | 0.001739 | 0.950000 |
3 | 22 | 2190 | 0.000435 | 0.952174 |
4 | 1 | 1.13 | 0.840000 | 0.949200 |
4 | 2 | 1.35 | 0.700000 | 0.945000 |
4 | 3 | 1.64 | 0.578261 | 0.948348 |
4 | 4 | 2 | 0.473123 | 0.946245 |
4 | 5 | 2.48 | 0.383004 | 0.949850 |
4 | 6 | 3.1 | 0.306403 | 0.949850 |
4 | 7 | 3.92 | 0.241897 | 0.948237 |
4 | 8 | 5.04 | 0.188142 | 0.948237 |
4 | 9 | 6.6 | 0.143874 | 0.949565 |
4 | 10 | 8.8 | 0.107905 | 0.949565 |
4 | 11 | 12 | 0.079130 | 0.949565 |
4 | 12 | 16.8 | 0.056522 | 0.949565 |
4 | 13 | 24.27 | 0.039130 | 0.949696 |
4 | 14 | 36.41 | 0.026087 | 0.949826 |
4 | 15 | 57.22 | 0.016601 | 0.949897 |
4 | 16 | 95.37 | 0.009960 | 0.949930 |
4 | 17 | 171.67 | 0.005534 | 0.949953 |
4 | 18 | 343.55 | 0.002767 | 0.950534 |
4 | 19 | 801.16 | 0.001186 | 0.949992 |
4 | 20 | 2400 | 0.000395 | 0.948617 |
4 | 21 | 12020 | 0.000079 | 0.950198 |
5 | 1 | 1.18 | 0.800000 | 0.944000 |
5 | 2 | 1.5 | 0.633333 | 0.950000 |
5 | 3 | 1.91 | 0.495652 | 0.946696 |
5 | 4 | 2.48 | 0.383004 | 0.949850 |
5 | 5 | 3.25 | 0.291813 | 0.948391 |
5 | 6 | 4.34 | 0.218859 | 0.949850 |
5 | 7 | 5.89 | 0.161265 | 0.949850 |
5 | 8 | 8.15 | 0.116469 | 0.949223 |
5 | 9 | 11.55 | 0.082213 | 0.949565 |
5 | 10 | 16.8 | 0.056522 | 0.949565 |
5 | 11 | 25.21 | 0.037681 | 0.949942 |
5 | 12 | 39.21 | 0.024224 | 0.949807 |
5 | 13 | 63.72 | 0.014907 | 0.949863 |
5 | 14 | 109.25 | 0.008696 | 0.950000 |
5 | 15 | 200.29 | 0.004743 | 0.949992 |
5 | 16 | 400.58 | 0.002372 | 0.949992 |
5 | 17 | 901.31 | 0.001054 | 0.949997 |
5 | 18 | 2400 | 0.000395 | 0.948617 |
5 | 19 | 8410 | 0.000113 | 0.949746 |
5 | 20 | 50470 | 0.000019 | 0.949934 |
6 | 1 | 1.25 | 0.760000 | 0.950000 |
6 | 2 | 1.66 | 0.570000 | 0.946200 |
6 | 3 | 2.25 | 0.421304 | 0.947935 |
6 | 4 | 3.1 | 0.306403 | 0.949850 |
6 | 5 | 4.34 | 0.218859 | 0.949850 |
6 | 6 | 6.2 | 0.153202 | 0.949850 |
6 | 7 | 9.06 | 0.104822 | 0.949689 |
6 | 8 | 13.59 | 0.069881 | 0.949689 |
6 | 9 | 21 | 0.045217 | 0.949565 |
6 | 10 | 33.61 | 0.028261 | 0.949848 |
6 | 11 | 56.02 | 0.016957 | 0.949904 |
6 | 12 | 98.04 | 0.009689 | 0.949953 |
6 | 13 | 182 | 0.005217 | 0.949565 |
6 | 14 | 364.16 | 0.002609 | 0.949983 |
6 | 15 | 801.16 | 0.001186 | 0.949992 |
6 | 16 | 2000 | 0.000474 | 0.948617 |
6 | 17 | 6001 | 0.000158 | 0.948775 |
6 | 18 | 24004 | 0.000040 | 0.948775 |
6 | 19 | 168000 | 0.000006 | 0.948617 |
7 | 1 | 1.31 | 0.720000 | 0.943200 |
7 | 2 | 1.86 | 0.510000 | 0.948600 |
7 | 3 | 2.67 | 0.354783 | 0.947270 |
7 | 4 | 3.92 | 0.241897 | 0.948237 |
7 | 5 | 5.89 | 0.161265 | 0.949850 |
7 | 6 | 9.06 | 0.104822 | 0.949689 |
7 | 7 | 14.34 | 0.066203 | 0.949358 |
7 | 8 | 23.48 | 0.040458 | 0.949946 |
7 | 9 | 39.91 | 0.023799 | 0.949803 |
7 | 10 | 70.96 | 0.013387 | 0.949922 |
7 | 11 | 133.06 | 0.007140 | 0.949994 |
7 | 12 | 266.12 | 0.003570 | 0.949994 |
7 | 13 | 576.59 | 0.001648 | 0.949988 |
7 | 14 | 1380 | 0.000686 | 0.947368 |
7 | 15 | 3810 | 0.000250 | 0.951113 |
7 | 16 | 12690 | 0.000075 | 0.950364 |
7 | 17 | 57080 | 0.000017 | 0.949948 |
7 | 18 | 457000 | 0.000002 | 0.950697 |
8 | 1 | 1.39 | 0.680000 | 0.945200 |
8 | 2 | 2.09 | 0.453333 | 0.947467 |
8 | 3 | 3.21 | 0.295652 | 0.949043 |
8 | 4 | 5.04 | 0.188142 | 0.948237 |
8 | 5 | 8.15 | 0.116469 | 0.949223 |
8 | 6 | 13.59 | 0.069881 | 0.949689 |
8 | 7 | 23.48 | 0.040458 | 0.949946 |
8 | 8 | 42.26 | 0.022476 | 0.949856 |
8 | 9 | 79.83 | 0.011899 | 0.949922 |
8 | 10 | 159.67 | 0.005950 | 0.949982 |
8 | 11 | 342.15 | 0.002777 | 0.949982 |
8 | 12 | 798.36 | 0.001190 | 0.949994 |
8 | 13 | 2080 | 0.000458 | 0.951945 |
8 | 14 | 6230 | 0.000153 | 0.950420 |
8 | 15 | 22830 | 0.000042 | 0.949865 |
8 | 16 | 114000 | 0.000008 | 0.948617 |
8 | 17 | 1030000 | 0.000001 | 0.952315 |
9 | 1 | 1.48 | 0.640000 | 0.947200 |
9 | 2 | 2.37 | 0.400000 | 0.948000 |
9 | 3 | 3.9 | 0.243478 | 0.949565 |
9 | 4 | 6.6 | 0.143874 | 0.949565 |
9 | 5 | 11.5 | 0.082213 | 0.945455 |
9 | 6 | 21 | 0.045217 | 0.949565 |
9 | 7 | 39.91 | 0.023799 | 0.949803 |
9 | 8 | 79.83 | 0.011899 | 0.949922 |
9 | 9 | 169.65 | 0.005600 | 0.949985 |
9 | 10 | 387.77 | 0.002450 | 0.949982 |
9 | 11 | 969.44 | 0.000980 | 0.949996 |
9 | 12 | 2710 | 0.000350 | 0.948445 |
9 | 13 | 8820 | 0.000108 | 0.949791 |
9 | 14 | 35290 | 0.000027 | 0.950061 |
9 | 15 | 194000 | 0.000005 | 0.949596 |
9 | 16 | 1940000 | 0.000000 | 0.949596 |
10 | 1 | 1.58 | 0.600000 | 0.948000 |
10 | 2 | 2.71 | 0.350000 | 0.948500 |
10 | 3 | 4.8 | 0.197826 | 0.949565 |
10 | 4 | 8.8 | 0.107905 | 0.949565 |
10 | 5 | 16.8 | 0.056522 | 0.949565 |
10 | 6 | 33.61 | 0.028261 | 0.949848 |
10 | 7 | 70.96 | 0.013387 | 0.949922 |
10 | 8 | 159.67 | 0.005950 | 0.949982 |
10 | 9 | 387.77 | 0.002450 | 0.949982 |
10 | 10 | 1030 | 0.000919 | 0.946258 |
10 | 11 | 3100 | 0.000306 | 0.949320 |
10 | 12 | 10860 | 0.000087 | 0.950195 |
10 | 13 | 47050 | 0.000020 | 0.949993 |
10 | 14 | 282000 | 0.000003 | 0.948984 |
10 | 15 | 3110000 | 0.000000 | 0.951431 |
11 | 1 | 1.69 | 0.560000 | 0.946400 |
11 | 2 | 3.13 | 0.303333 | 0.949433 |
11 | 3 | 6 | 0.158261 | 0.949565 |
11 | 4 | 12 | 0.079130 | 0.949565 |
11 | 5 | 25.21 | 0.037681 | 0.949942 |
11 | 6 | 56.02 | 0.016957 | 0.949904 |
11 | 7 | 133.06 | 0.007140 | 0.949994 |
11 | 8 | 342.15 | 0.002777 | 0.949982 |
11 | 9 | 969.44 | 0.000980 | 0.949996 |
11 | 10 | 3100 | 0.000306 | 0.949320 |
11 | 11 | 11630 | 0.000082 | 0.949729 |
11 | 12 | 54290 | 0.000017 | 0.950020 |
11 | 13 | 353000 | 0.000003 | 0.950330 |
11 | 14 | 4230000 | 0.000000 | 0.948984 |
12 | 1 | 1.82 | 0.520000 | 0.946400 |
12 | 2 | 3.65 | 0.260000 | 0.949000 |
12 | 3 | 7.63 | 0.124348 | 0.948774 |
12 | 4 | 16.8 | 0.056522 | 0.949565 |
12 | 5 | 39.21 | 0.024224 | 0.949807 |
12 | 6 | 98.04 | 0.009689 | 0.949953 |
12 | 7 | 266.12 | 0.003570 | 0.949994 |
12 | 8 | 798.36 | 0.001190 | 0.949994 |
12 | 9 | 2710 | 0.000350 | 0.948445 |
12 | 10 | 10860 | 0.000087 | 0.950195 |
12 | 11 | 54290 | 0.000017 | 0.950020 |
12 | 12 | 380000 | 0.000002 | 0.949945 |
12 | 13 | 4940000 | 0.000000 | 0.949945 |
13 | 1 | 1.97 | 0.480000 | 0.945600 |
13 | 2 | 4.31 | 0.220000 | 0.948200 |
13 | 3 | 9.93 | 0.095652 | 0.949826 |
13 | 4 | 24.27 | 0.039130 | 0.949696 |
13 | 5 | 63.72 | 0.014907 | 0.949863 |
13 | 6 | 182.08 | 0.005217 | 0.949983 |
13 | 7 | 576.59 | 0.001648 | 0.949988 |
13 | 8 | 2080 | 0.000458 | 0.951945 |
13 | 9 | 8820 | 0.000108 | 0.949791 |
13 | 10 | 47050 | 0.000020 | 0.949993 |
13 | 11 | 353000 | 0.000003 | 0.950330 |
13 | 12 | 4940000 | 0.000000 | 0.949945 |
14 | 1 | 2.15 | 0.440000 | 0.946000 |
14 | 2 | 5.18 | 0.183333 | 0.949667 |
14 | 3 | 13.24 | 0.071739 | 0.949826 |
14 | 4 | 36.41 | 0.026087 | 0.949826 |
14 | 5 | 109.25 | 0.008696 | 0.950000 |
14 | 6 | 364.16 | 0.002609 | 0.949983 |
14 | 7 | 1380 | 0.000686 | 0.947368 |
14 | 8 | 6230 | 0.000153 | 0.950420 |
14 | 9 | 35290 | 0.000027 | 0.950061 |
14 | 10 | 282000 | 0.000003 | 0.948984 |
14 | 11 | 4230000 | 0.000000 | 0.948984 |
15 | 1 | 2.51 | 0.400000 | 1.004000 |
15 | 2 | 6.33 | 0.150000 | 0.949500 |
15 | 3 | 18.2 | 0.052174 | 0.949565 |
15 | 4 | 57.22 | 0.016601 | 0.949897 |
15 | 5 | 200.29 | 0.004743 | 0.949992 |
15 | 6 | 801.16 | 0.001186 | 0.949992 |
15 | 7 | 3810 | 0.000250 | 0.951113 |
15 | 8 | 22830 | 0.000042 | 0.949865 |
15 | 9 | 193000 | 0.000005 | 0.944701 |
15 | 10 | 3100000 | 0.000000 | 0.948372 |
16 | 1 | 2.63 | 0.360000 | 0.946800 |
16 | 2 | 7.91 | 0.120000 | 0.949200 |
16 | 3 | 26.01 | 0.036522 | 0.949930 |
16 | 4 | 95.37 | 0.009960 | 0.949930 |
16 | 5 | 458 | 0.002372 | 1.086166 |
16 | 6 | 2000 | 0.000474 | 0.948617 |
16 | 7 | 12690 | 0.000075 | 0.950364 |
16 | 8 | 114000 | 0.000008 | 0.948617 |
16 | 9 | 1940000 | 0.000000 | 0.949596 |
17 | 1 | 2.96 | 0.320000 | 0.947200 |
17 | 2 | 10.17 | 0.093333 | 0.949200 |
17 | 3 | 39.01 | 0.024348 | 0.949809 |
17 | 4 | 171.67 | 0.005534 | 0.949953 |
17 | 5 | 901.31 | 0.001054 | 0.949997 |
17 | 6 | 6010 | 0.000158 | 0.950198 |
17 | 7 | 57080 | 0.000017 | 0.949948 |
17 | 8 | 1030000 | 0.000001 | 0.952315 |
18 | 1 | 3.39 | 0.280000 | 0.949200 |
18 | 2 | 13.57 | 0.070000 | 0.949900 |
18 | 3 | 62.42 | 0.015217 | 0.949870 |
18 | 4 | 343.35 | 0.002767 | 0.949980 |
18 | 5 | 2400 | 0.000395 | 0.948617 |
18 | 6 | 24030 | 0.000040 | 0.949802 |
18 | 7 | 457000 | 0.000002 | 0.950697 |
19 | 1 | 3.95 | 0.240000 | 0.948000 |
19 | 2 | 19 | 0.050000 | 0.950000 |
19 | 3 | 109.25 | 0.008696 | 0.950000 |
19 | 4 | 801.16 | 0.001186 | 0.949992 |
19 | 5 | 8410 | 0.000113 | 0.949746 |
19 | 6 | 168000 | 0.000006 | 0.948617 |
20 | 1 | 4.75 | 0.200000 | 0.950000 |
20 | 2 | 28.5 | 0.033333 | 0.950000 |
20 | 3 | 218.5 | 0.004348 | 0.950000 |
20 | 4 | 2400 | 0.000395 | 0.948617 |
20 | 5 | 50470 | 0.000019 | 0.949934 |
21 | 1 | 5.93 | 0.160000 | 0.948800 |
21 | 2 | 47.5 | 0.020000 | 0.950000 |
21 | 3 | 546.25 | 0.001739 | 0.950000 |
21 | 4 | 12020 | 0.000079 | 0.950198 |
22 | 1 | 7.91 | 0.120000 | 0.949200 |
22 | 2 | 95 | 0.010000 | 0.950000 |
22 | 3 | 2190 | 0.000435 | 0.952174 |
23 | 1 | 11.87 | 0.080000 | 0.949600 |
23 | 2 | 285 | 0.003333 | 0.950000 |
24 | 1 | 23.75 | 0.040000 | 0.950000 |
The table above shows that in cases of 2 to 24 mines, the expected return is always close to 95%. In general, the expected return for the first pick is close to 95% and for all subsequent picks is close to 100%.
An exception is the case of one mine. There, the expected return is 96% for one pick, close to 95% for 24 picks, and much less, as low as 41% for 2 to 23 picks.
My advice is this game is to either choose at least two mines and play as long as like, or one mine and either stop at one diamond or go all the way to all 24.