On this page

NFL Teasers

Warning

This page is rather dated and limited in scope. I recommend you visit my page on Teaser Bets in the NFL instead.

Introduction

A teaser is similar to a parlay bet in that the player ties multiple wagers together and the cumulative bet wins only if the wagers all win together. Where the teaser differs from the parlay is that the point spread is moved a specified number of points (usually 6 to 7 points) in the player's favor on all picks. The player pays for those points in the form of much lower wins than a parlay bet. For example, a 2-team parlay usually pays 13 to 5, but a 2-team 6-point teaser usually pays 10 to 11. On teasers, each pick is called a "team." I always thought this was confusing, because the player can choose over and under bets too. Personally, I prefer to use the term "pick," but on this page I use the terms "pick" and "team" interchangeably.

As with a parlay, every pick must win in order for the bet to win. In the event one or more events end in a push, then those picks are ignored. For example, if a 4-team teaser results in 3 wins and 1 push, then it would pay as a winning 3-team teaser. In the rare event a teaser is reduced to just one pick, then it usually pushes, because there is no such thing as a one-team teaser. An exception to this is The Greek Internet sports book, which treats any teasers with a losing pick as a loss. Otherwise, don't throw away a teaser bet if the first game loses, because it will still push if every other pick results in a push.

Let's take a look at an example. The image to the side is of a teaser bet I made in 2004. The following would have been the normal point spreads that week:

 

  • Bengals +2.5
  • Buccs -8
  • Chiefs +2.5
  • Colts -8.5

 

However, because I did a 6-point teaser, all the point spreads moved six points in my favor, to the following:

 

  • Bengals +8.5
  • Buccs -2
  • Chiefs +8.5
  • Colts -2.5

 

If I covered all four of these spreads, then I would have been paid 3 to 1. Since I made that bet, teaser odds have gone down. The Suncoast now pays only 5 to 2 for a 4-team 6-point teaser, for example. The outcome of the teaser above is I won two and lost two, so the bet lost.

Probability of a Single Pick Winning

A good place to start an analysis of teasers is to find the probability of any given pick winning. I looked at every regular season NFL game between the 2000 and 2011 seasons. Then I cut the results by the number of points given, and whether the pick was on a home team, away team, under, or over. The "all sides" column is the average of both sides of all games against the spread.

The most common teasers give the player 6, 6.5, or 7 extra points. However, I've seen teaser cards with an unusual number of points given. To be complete, I analyzed everything from a 0 to 14-point teaser, although many of these you will never see.

 

Teaser Average Probabilities

Extra Points All Home All Away All Sides All Under All Over All Totals
14 85.85% 85.00% 85.43% 83.70% 87.44% 85.57%
13.5 84.89% 84.05% 84.47% 82.86% 86.69% 84.78%
13 84.16% 83.26% 83.71% 81.94% 85.78% 83.86%
12.5 83.15% 82.49% 82.82% 80.87% 84.85% 82.86%
12 82.43% 81.77% 82.10% 79.92% 83.73% 81.83%
11.5 81.48% 80.91% 81.20% 78.83% 82.81% 80.82%
11 80.74% 80.32% 80.53% 78.10% 82.09% 80.09%
10.5 79.53% 79.31% 79.42% 76.99% 81.01% 79.00%
10 78.32% 77.91% 78.11% 75.94% 79.59% 77.76%
9.5 76.82% 76.61% 76.71% 74.92% 78.39% 76.66%
9 75.88% 75.70% 75.79% 73.73% 77.39% 75.56%
8.5 74.74% 74.87% 74.81% 72.68% 76.12% 74.40%
8 73.65% 73.85% 73.75% 71.60% 74.75% 73.17%
7.5 72.28% 72.64% 72.46% 70.36% 73.14% 71.75%
7 71.06% 71.56% 71.31% 69.03% 71.61% 70.31%
6.5 69.67% 70.03% 69.85% 67.71% 69.88% 68.79%
6 68.09% 68.48% 68.28% 66.24% 68.18% 67.21%
5.5 66.30% 66.61% 66.45% 65.11% 66.73% 65.92%
5 64.97% 65.46% 65.21% 63.91% 65.69% 64.80%
4.5 63.66% 64.19% 63.93% 62.73% 64.54% 63.63%
4 62.15% 62.78% 62.47% 61.50% 63.16% 62.33%
3.5 60.31% 61.16% 60.73% 59.86% 61.53% 60.69%
3 58.95% 59.69% 59.32% 58.53% 59.80% 59.17%
2.5 57.52% 58.33% 57.92% 57.16% 58.25% 57.70%
2 56.08% 57.21% 56.65% 55.69% 56.73% 56.21%
1.5 54.56% 56.13% 55.35% 54.32% 55.13% 54.72%
1 53.11% 54.84% 53.98% 52.91% 53.38% 53.14%
0.5 51.47% 53.17% 52.32% 51.46% 51.71% 51.58%
0 49.13% 50.87% 50.00% 50.03% 49.97% 50.00%

 

What does the table above tell us? For the common teasers of 6 to 7 points, away teams are slightly better than home. It also shows that overs are slightly better than unders. The most important thing to notice is that teasing sides is significantly better than teasing totals.

The sports book review at my Wizard of Vegas site indicates what all the major sports book families pay on teasers. The next table shows the expected return on 6, 6.5, and 7-point teasers under all known pay tables, for all side and all total teasers.

6-Point Teaser Returns

 

6-Point Teasers

Picks Pays Sides Totals
2 10 to 11 -10.99% -13.77%
2 5 to 6 -14.52% -17.19%
3 9 to 5 -10.86% -15.00%
3 8 to 5 -17.23% -21.07%
3 7 to 5 -23.60% -27.14%
4 3 to 1 -13.05% -18.39%
4 14 to 5 -17.40% -22.47%
4 13 to 5 -21.75% -26.55%
4 5 to 2 -23.92% -28.59%
4 12 to 5 -26.09% -30.63%
4 17 to 10 -41.31% -44.91%
5 5 to 1 -10.95% -17.73%
5 9 to 2 -18.37% -24.58%
5 4 to 1 -25.79% -31.44%
5 3 to 1 -40.63% -45.15%
6 7 to 1 -18.92% -26.28%
6 13 to 2 -23.99% -30.88%
6 6 to 1 -29.06% -35.49%
6 9 to 2 -44.26% -49.31%
7 11 to 1 -16.96% -25.68%
7 10 to 1 -23.88% -31.87%
7 9 to 1 -30.80% -38.06%
7 8 to 1 -37.72% -44.26%
7 7 to 1 -44.64% -50.45%
8 15 to 1 -24.40% -33.40%
8 12 to 1 -38.58% -45.89%
8 10 to 1 -48.03% -54.21%

 

6.5-Point Teaser Returns

 

6.5-Point Teasers

Picks Pays Sides Totals
2 5 to 6 -10.56% -13.23%
2 10 to 13 -13.69% -16.27%
2 10 to 14 -16.37% -18.87%
3 8 to 5 -11.40% -15.35%
3 3 to 2 -14.81% -18.60%
3 29 to 20 -16.51% -20.23%
3 7 to 5 -18.22% -21.86%
3 6 to 5 -25.03% -28.37%
4 5 to 2 -16.70% -21.60%
4 12 to 5 -19.08% -23.84%
4 11 to 5 -23.84% -28.32%
4 2 to 1 -28.60% -32.80%
5 4 to 1 -16.88% -22.95%
5 7 to 2 -25.19% -30.66%
6 7 to 1 -7.11% -15.19%
6 6 to 1 -18.72% -25.79%
6 11 to 2 -24.52% -31.10%
6 5 to 1 -30.33% -36.40%
7 9 to 1 -18.89% -27.07%
7 8 to 1 -27.01% -34.36%
8 12 to 1 -26.36% -34.78%
8 10 to 1 -37.69% -44.81%
8 9 to 1 -43.35% -49.83%

 

7-Point Teaser Returns

 

7-Point Teasers

Picks Pays Sides Totals
2 10 to 13 -10.03% -12.53%
2 5 to 7 -12.83% -15.25%
2 2 to 3 -15.25% -17.60%
3 3 to 2 -9.34% -13.09%
3 7 to 5 -12.97% -16.57%
3 13 to 10 -16.60% -20.04%
3 6 to 5 -20.22% -23.52%
3 1 to 1 -27.48% -30.47%
4 2 to 1 -22.42% -26.67%
4 9 to 5 -27.60% -31.56%
5 7 to 2 -17.02% -22.66%
5 3 to 1 -26.24% -31.25%
5 5 to 2 -35.46% -39.85%
6 5 to 1 -21.10% -27.49%
6 9 to 2 -27.68% -33.53%
6 4 to 1 -34.25% -39.58%
7 8 to 1 -15.61% -23.52%
7 7 to 1 -24.98% -32.02%
7 13 to 2 -29.67% -36.27%
7 6 to 1 -34.36% -40.52%
8 11 to 1 -19.76% -28.30%
8 10 to 1 -26.45% -34.28%
8 9 to 1 -33.13% -40.25%
8 8 to 1 -39.82% -46.23%

 

As you can see, teasing random picks results in a very high house edge most of the time. As a rule of thumb, teasers are a sucker bet. However, with some skill you can get the odds in your favor.

Wong Teasers

 

The two most common margins of victory in the NFL, by far, are 3 and 7 points. My sports betting appendix 2 shows the probability of each margin of victory. Briefly, 15.9% of NFL games are decided by exactly 3 points and 9.6% are decided by 7.

Compare Online NFL Odds

nfl_icon.png American Football : NFL
This Week
Upcoming matches Game Money Line Spread Total Featured Insight
Thu Nov 21st 8pm Cleveland Browns - Pittsburgh Steelers BetOnline.ag

Sign Up Bonus

100% up to
$1000

Players rated BetOnline Sportsbook 3 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 18+. For the first cryptocurrency deposit. Allowed: USA and Canada. Minimum deposit $20.
176
William Hill (US) -110 (3.5) William Hill (US) -110 (36.5)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm Carolina Panthers - Kansas City Chiefs MyBookie.ag

Sign Up Bonus

50% up to
$1000

Players rated MyBookie 3.6 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New customers only. T&C's apply. 18+.This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+.  Minimum deposit: $50.
480
William Hill (US) -110 (11) Bovada

Sign Up Bonus - Cryptocurrency

75% up to
$750

Players rated Bovada 3 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C's apply. 18+. Only for cryptocurrency deposits.
-105 (43)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm Chicago Bears - Minnesota Vikings William Hill (US) 162 BetUS

Sign Up Bonus

125% up to
$2500

Players rated BetUS 3.1 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C's apply. 18+. This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+. Minimum deposit: $100. Plus 25% Casino Bonus – up to $625. 7 Days Expiry.
105 (3)
William Hill (US) -110 (39.5)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm Washington Commanders - Dallas Cowboys BetOnline.ag

Sign Up Bonus

100% up to
$1000

Players rated BetOnline Sportsbook 3 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 18+. For the first cryptocurrency deposit. Allowed: USA and Canada. Minimum deposit $20.
-525
BetUS

Sign Up Bonus

125% up to
$2500

Players rated BetUS 3.1 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C's apply. 18+. This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+. Minimum deposit: $100. Plus 25% Casino Bonus – up to $625. 7 Days Expiry.
-105 (-10.5)
BetOnline.ag

Sign Up Bonus

100% up to
$1000

Players rated BetOnline Sportsbook 3 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 18+. For the first cryptocurrency deposit. Allowed: USA and Canada. Minimum deposit $20.
-107 (45)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm Indianapolis Colts - Detroit Lions BetMGM

Sign Up Bonus

100% up to
$1000

Players rated BetMGM Casino NJ 3.1 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 18+. Minimum deposit: $10.   Plus, get a $25 Casino Bonus on the house. The casino Bonus received from this Promotion is subject to a wagering requirement. Wagering requirement contributions are based on the specific casino game being wagered on. Please see the Wagering Requirements section for more details. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ years of age or older to wager. MI, NJ, PA or WV only. Excludes Michigan Disassociated Persons. All promotions are subject to qualification and eligibility requirements. Rewards issued as non-withdrawable site credit, unless otherwise provided in the applicable Terms. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling Problem? 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI), 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, PA & WV).
310
Bovada

Sign Up Bonus - Cryptocurrency

75% up to
$750

Players rated Bovada 3 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C's apply. 18+. Only for cryptocurrency deposits.
-105 (7)
William Hill (US) -110 (50)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm Houston Texans - Tennessee Titans BetOnline.ag

Sign Up Bonus

100% up to
$1000

Players rated BetOnline Sportsbook 3 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 18+. For the first cryptocurrency deposit. Allowed: USA and Canada. Minimum deposit $20.
-385
BetUS

Sign Up Bonus

125% up to
$2500

Players rated BetUS 3.1 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C's apply. 18+. This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+. Minimum deposit: $100. Plus 25% Casino Bonus – up to $625. 7 Days Expiry.
105 (-9)
BetOnline.ag

Sign Up Bonus

100% up to
$1000

Players rated BetOnline Sportsbook 3 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 18+. For the first cryptocurrency deposit. Allowed: USA and Canada. Minimum deposit $20.
-108 (40.5)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm Miami Dolphins - New England Patriots BetOnline.ag

Sign Up Bonus

100% up to
$1000

Players rated BetOnline Sportsbook 3 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 18+. For the first cryptocurrency deposit. Allowed: USA and Canada. Minimum deposit $20.
-350
MyBookie.ag

Sign Up Bonus

50% up to
$1000

Players rated MyBookie 3.6 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New customers only. T&C's apply. 18+.This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+.  Minimum deposit: $50.
-105 (-7.5)
William Hill (US) -110 (46)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm New York Giants - Tampa Bay Buccaneers BetUS

Sign Up Bonus

125% up to
$2500

Players rated BetUS 3.1 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C's apply. 18+. This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+. Minimum deposit: $100. Plus 25% Casino Bonus – up to $625. 7 Days Expiry.
223
William Hill (US) -105 (6) William Hill (US) -110 (41.5)
Sun Nov 24th 4pm Las Vegas Raiders - Denver Broncos BetUS

Sign Up Bonus

125% up to
$2500

Players rated BetUS 3.1 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C's apply. 18+. This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+. Minimum deposit: $100. Plus 25% Casino Bonus – up to $625. 7 Days Expiry.
235
William Hill (US) -110 (6) William Hill (US) -110 (41)
Sun Nov 24th 4pm Arizona Cardinals - Seattle Seahawks William Hill (US) -105 BetUS

Sign Up Bonus

125% up to
$2500

Players rated BetUS 3.1 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C's apply. 18+. This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+. Minimum deposit: $100. Plus 25% Casino Bonus – up to $625. 7 Days Expiry.
-105 (0)
William Hill (US) -110 (47.5)
Sun Nov 24th 4pm Green Bay Packers - San Francisco 49ers BetMGM

Sign Up Bonus

100% up to
$1000

Players rated BetMGM Casino NJ 3.1 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 18+. Minimum deposit: $10.   Plus, get a $25 Casino Bonus on the house. The casino Bonus received from this Promotion is subject to a wagering requirement. Wagering requirement contributions are based on the specific casino game being wagered on. Please see the Wagering Requirements section for more details. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ years of age or older to wager. MI, NJ, PA or WV only. Excludes Michigan Disassociated Persons. All promotions are subject to qualification and eligibility requirements. Rewards issued as non-withdrawable site credit, unless otherwise provided in the applicable Terms. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling Problem? 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI), 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, PA & WV).
-125
William Hill (US) -105 (-2) William Hill (US) -110 (47.5)
Next Week
Upcoming matches Game Money Line Spread Total Featured Insight
Sun Nov 24th 8pm Los Angeles Rams - Philadelphia Eagles BetMGM

Sign Up Bonus

100% up to
$1000

Players rated BetMGM Casino NJ 3.1 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 18+. Minimum deposit: $10.   Plus, get a $25 Casino Bonus on the house. The casino Bonus received from this Promotion is subject to a wagering requirement. Wagering requirement contributions are based on the specific casino game being wagered on. Please see the Wagering Requirements section for more details. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ years of age or older to wager. MI, NJ, PA or WV only. Excludes Michigan Disassociated Persons. All promotions are subject to qualification and eligibility requirements. Rewards issued as non-withdrawable site credit, unless otherwise provided in the applicable Terms. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling Problem? 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI), 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, PA & WV).
130
BetOnline.ag

Sign Up Bonus

100% up to
$1000

Players rated BetOnline Sportsbook 3 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 18+. For the first cryptocurrency deposit. Allowed: USA and Canada. Minimum deposit $20.
-101 (2.5)
Bovada

Sign Up Bonus - Cryptocurrency

75% up to
$750

Players rated Bovada 3 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C's apply. 18+. Only for cryptocurrency deposits.
-105 (49)
Mon Nov 25th 8pm Los Angeles Chargers - Baltimore Ravens William Hill (US) 130 MyBookie.ag

Sign Up Bonus

50% up to
$1000

Players rated MyBookie 3.6 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New customers only. T&C's apply. 18+.This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+.  Minimum deposit: $50.
-115 (3)
Bovada

Sign Up Bonus - Cryptocurrency

75% up to
$750

Players rated Bovada 3 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C's apply. 18+. Only for cryptocurrency deposits.
-105 (51)
Thu Nov 28th 12pm Detroit Lions - Chicago Bears BetMGM

Sign Up Bonus

100% up to
$1000

Players rated BetMGM Casino NJ 3.1 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 18+. Minimum deposit: $10.   Plus, get a $25 Casino Bonus on the house. The casino Bonus received from this Promotion is subject to a wagering requirement. Wagering requirement contributions are based on the specific casino game being wagered on. Please see the Wagering Requirements section for more details. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ years of age or older to wager. MI, NJ, PA or WV only. Excludes Michigan Disassociated Persons. All promotions are subject to qualification and eligibility requirements. Rewards issued as non-withdrawable site credit, unless otherwise provided in the applicable Terms. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling Problem? 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI), 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, PA & WV).
-200
BetOnline.ag

Sign Up Bonus

100% up to
$1000

Players rated BetOnline Sportsbook 3 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 18+. For the first cryptocurrency deposit. Allowed: USA and Canada. Minimum deposit $20.
100 (-10.5)
William Hill (US) -110 (48.5)
Thu Nov 28th 4pm Dallas Cowboys - New York Giants William Hill (US) -145 William Hill (US) -110 (-2.5) William Hill (US) -110 (39.5)
Thu Nov 28th 8pm Green Bay Packers - Miami Dolphins BetMGM

Sign Up Bonus

100% up to
$1000

Players rated BetMGM Casino NJ 3.1 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 18+. Minimum deposit: $10.   Plus, get a $25 Casino Bonus on the house. The casino Bonus received from this Promotion is subject to a wagering requirement. Wagering requirement contributions are based on the specific casino game being wagered on. Please see the Wagering Requirements section for more details. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ years of age or older to wager. MI, NJ, PA or WV only. Excludes Michigan Disassociated Persons. All promotions are subject to qualification and eligibility requirements. Rewards issued as non-withdrawable site credit, unless otherwise provided in the applicable Terms. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling Problem? 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI), 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, PA & WV).
-155
William Hill (US) -110 (-3.5) William Hill (US) -110 (47.5)
Fri Nov 29th 3pm Kansas City Chiefs - Las Vegas Raiders William Hill (US) -355 BetOnline.ag

Sign Up Bonus

100% up to
$1000

Players rated BetOnline Sportsbook 3 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 18+. For the first cryptocurrency deposit. Allowed: USA and Canada. Minimum deposit $20.
100 (-12.5)
William Hill (US) -110 (44)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm Minnesota Vikings - Arizona Cardinals MyBookie.ag

Sign Up Bonus

50% up to
$1000

Players rated MyBookie 3.6 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New customers only. T&C's apply. 18+.This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+.  Minimum deposit: $50.
-208
William Hill (US) -110 (-3.5) William Hill (US) -110 (47)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm Atlanta Falcons - Los Angeles Chargers MyBookie.ag

Sign Up Bonus

50% up to
$1000

Players rated MyBookie 3.6 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New customers only. T&C's apply. 18+.This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+.  Minimum deposit: $50.
102
William Hill (US) -110 (1.5) William Hill (US) -110 (47)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm Cincinnati Bengals - Pittsburgh Steelers MyBookie.ag

Sign Up Bonus

50% up to
$1000

Players rated MyBookie 3.6 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New customers only. T&C's apply. 18+.This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+.  Minimum deposit: $50.
-132
William Hill (US) -110 (-1.5) William Hill (US) -110 (47.5)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm Jacksonville Jaguars - Houston Texans MyBookie.ag

Sign Up Bonus

50% up to
$1000

Players rated MyBookie 3.6 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New customers only. T&C's apply. 18+.This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+.  Minimum deposit: $50.
240
William Hill (US) -105 (6.5) William Hill (US) -110 (42.5)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm New England Patriots - Indianapolis Colts William Hill (US) 152 William Hill (US) 100 (2.5) William Hill (US) -110 (43)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm New York Jets - Seattle Seahawks MyBookie.ag

Sign Up Bonus

50% up to
$1000

Players rated MyBookie 3.6 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New customers only. T&C's apply. 18+.This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+.  Minimum deposit: $50.
-124
William Hill (US) -110 (-1.5) William Hill (US) -110 (44)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm Washington Commanders - Tennessee Titans MyBookie.ag

Sign Up Bonus

50% up to
$1000

Players rated MyBookie 3.6 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New customers only. T&C's apply. 18+.This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+.  Minimum deposit: $50.
-360
William Hill (US) -110 (-7) William Hill (US) -110 (44.5)
Sun Dec 1st 4pm Carolina Panthers - Tampa Bay Buccaneers MyBookie.ag

Sign Up Bonus

50% up to
$1000

Players rated MyBookie 3.6 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New customers only. T&C's apply. 18+.This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+.  Minimum deposit: $50.
236
William Hill (US) -110 (6.5) William Hill (US) -110 (44)
Sun Dec 1st 4pm New Orleans Saints - Los Angeles Rams MyBookie.ag

Sign Up Bonus

50% up to
$1000

Players rated MyBookie 3.6 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New customers only. T&C's apply. 18+.This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+.  Minimum deposit: $50.
110
William Hill (US) 100 (2.5) William Hill (US) -110 (46.5)
Sun Dec 1st 4pm Baltimore Ravens - Philadelphia Eagles MyBookie.ag

Sign Up Bonus

50% up to
$1000

Players rated MyBookie 3.6 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New customers only. T&C's apply. 18+.This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+.  Minimum deposit: $50.
-159
William Hill (US) -105 (-3) William Hill (US) -110 (50.5)
Next Month
Upcoming matches Game Money Line Spread Total Featured Insight
Sun Dec 1st 8pm Buffalo Bills - San Francisco 49ers MyBookie.ag

Sign Up Bonus

50% up to
$1000

Players rated MyBookie 3.6 out of 5 Stars
Claim
New customers only. T&C's apply. 18+.This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+.  Minimum deposit: $50.
-179
William Hill (US) -110 (-3.5) William Hill (US) -110 (47)
Mon Dec 2nd 7pm Denver Broncos - Cleveland Browns William Hill (US) 135 William Hill (US) -110 (-6.5) William Hill (US) -110 (40.5)

In his outstanding book Sharp Sports Betting, Stanford Wong noted that by crossing the 3- and 7-point margins of victory with a 6-point teaser, the player could have an advantage. However, his book is now somewhat dated, and results since its publication have not been good for what are known as "Wong teasers." Let's take a fresh look at them. Again, all the results in this page are based on regular season games from week 1 2000 to week 4 2010.

 

Wong Teasers

Bet Wins Games Ratio Wins Standard Deviation
Home underdogs 90 126 71.43% 3.98%
Home favorites 109 144 75.69% 3.72%
Away underdogs 124 170 72.94% 3.42%
Away favorites 31 48 64.58% 6.44%
All home 199 270 73.70% 2.72%
All away 155 218 71.10% 3.02%
All underdogs 214 296 72.30% 2.59%
All favorites 140 192 72.92% 3.22%
All 354 488 72.54% 2.02%

 

The table above shows the probability of a Wong teaser winning ranges from 64.58% to 75.69%. I tend to think this is just random variation and that the overall win rate of 72.54% is the significant statistic. The next table shows the expected return of Wong teasers according to the number of teams and the odds a winning bet pays.

 

Wong Teaser Expected Return

Picks Pays Expected Return
2 10 to 11 0.46%
2 5 to 6 -3.53%
3 9 to 5 6.88%
3 8 to 5 -0.75%
3 7 to 5 -8.39%
4 3 to 1 10.76%
4 14 to 5 5.22%
4 13 to 5 -0.31%
4 5 to 2 -3.08%
4 12 to 5 -5.85%
4 17 to 10 -25.24%
5 5 to 1 20.52%
5 9 to 2 10.48%
5 4 to 1 0.44%
5 3 to 1 -19.65%
6 7 to 1 16.57%
6 13 to 2 9.29%
6 6 to 1 2.00%
6 9 to 2 -19.86%
7 11 to 1 26.84%
7 10 to 1 16.27%
7 9 to 1 5.70%
7 8 to 1 -4.87%
7 7 to 1 -15.44%
8 15 to 1 22.68%
8 12 to 1 -0.32%
8 10 to 1 -15.65%

 

The table above shows the classic 2-team teaser that pays 10 to 11 is barely good any longer, with a player advantage of about half a percent. To have an advantage worth bothering with, you need at least three teams and the premium odds. Here is Nevada, when last I checked in 2010, your best chance at a good Wong Teaser is the 4-team teaser that pays 3 to 1 at Leroy's sports books. You can use my Las Vegas sports book groups page to find which cases have a Leroy's outlet.

Teaser Cards

I have not checked every teaser card out there, but those I have checked I found to be a lousy bet. Consider the Boyd Gaming "Super Teaser" card, for example. For the Monday Night Football game of October 18, 2010, they had the Titans +5 and the Jaguars +12. Ties always win, and every point spread is an even number, so that is the same as Titans +5.5 and Jaguars +12.5. That is mathematically equivalent to a 9-point teaser. The following table shows the pay table, probability of winning, and expected return for a random picker.

 

Boyd Super Teaser

Picks Pays (for one) Probability Win Expected Return
4 2 32.99% -34.01%
5 2.5 25.00% -37.49%
6 3.5 18.95% -33.67%
7 4.5 14.36% -35.37%
8 6 10.89% -34.69%
9 7.5 8.25% -38.13%
10 9.5 6.25% -40.60%
11 12 4.74% -43.14%
12 15 3.59% -46.13%
13 20 2.72% -45.56%
14 25 2.06% -48.43%
15 30 1.56% -53.10%

 

The upshot of it is that this Super Teaser card is a lousy bet. You might say, what if the player only crossed through key totals. I found that didn't help much. To make things worse, they give the player only 8.5 points on totals, when they should offer more points than for sides, to be fair.

Pre-Season Teasers

Most sports books don't allow teasers on pre-season games. However, if you find one that does, I think Wong teasers would be a strong bet. This is because you find a lot of games with a 1.5 to 2.5 spread, and the games tend to be low scoring, and decided by small margins of victory. I don't have data on pre-season games, so this is anecdotal advice only.