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Tiger No Commission Baccarat

Introduction

Tiger No Commission Baccarat is a commission-free baccarat variant that pays 1 to 2 on a winning banker total of six. The game can be found at the Marina Bay Sands in Singapore. What sets it apart is that it adds five new side bets, all of them high house edge sucker bets. This page explains all the rules and breaks down the odds of the new bets the game brings to baccarat.

Rules

As usual for baccarat games, I capitalize the names of bets, including Player and Banker, and use lower case for the people playing the game, to avoid confusion.

  1. Tiger No Commission Baccarat follows the standard drawing rules as in conventional baccarat, which I will assume the reader is already familiar with.
  2. The "Nepal variant" of Commission-Free Baccarat is followed on winning Banker bets, in which wins pay 1 to 1, except a winning total of six pays 1 to 2.
  3. As in conventional baccarat, the Player bet pays 1 to 1 and the Tie bet pays 8 to 1.
  4. The following side bets are added:
    • Tiger Pair — This bet shall win if the Player and or Banker hand form for a pair in the initial two cards, according to the pay table below.
    • Tiger — This bet shall win if the Banker hand has a winning total of six, according to the pay table below.
    • Small Tiger — Pays 22 to 1 only if the Banker has a winning two-card total of six.
    • Big Tiger — Pays 50 to 1 only if the Banker has a winning three-card total of six.
    • Tiger Tie — Pays 35 to 1 only if the hand ends in a 6-6 tie.

 

Following is the pay table for the Tiger Pair bet. Wins are on a "to one" basis.

Tiger Pair Pay Table

Event Pays
Twin Tiger Pair 100
Double Tiger pair 20
Single Tiger Pair 4

Terminology for the Tiger Pair bet

  • Twin Tiger Pair — Player and Banker have the same pair in rank. For example, both have a pair of queens.
  • Double Tiger Pair — Both Player and Banker hands form pairs, except for a Twin Tiger.
  • Single Tiger Pair — The Player or Banker hand form a pair, but not both.

Following is the pay table for the Tiger bet. Wins are on a "to one" basis.

Tiger Pay Table

Event Pays
Banker has three-card winning total of six 20
Banker has two-card winning total of six 12

Analysis

I won't bother to post my analysis of the Banker, Player, and Tie bets, as those can be found under the Nepal variant in my page on Commission-Free Baccarat.

The following table shows my analysis of the Tiger Pair side bet, based on eight decks. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 16.12%.

Tiger Pair Return Table

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Twin Tiger Pair 100 2,804,880 0.000380 0.038009
Double Tiger Pair 20 38,378,496 0.005201 0.104013
Single Tiger Pair 4 1,020,125,184 0.138236 0.552945
No pair -1 6,318,274,560 0.856183 -0.856183
Total 0 7,379,583,120 1.000000 -0.161217

The following table shows my analysis of the Small Tiger side bet, where wins pay 22 to 1, based on eight decks. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 14.33%.

Small Tiger Return Table

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Banker win with two-card total of six 22 186,173,936,904,192 0.037247 0.819428
All other outcomes -1 4,812,224,338,599,170 0.962753 -0.962753
Total   4,998,398,275,503,360 1.000000 -0.143325

The following table shows my analysis of the Small Tiger side bet, where wins pay 22 to 1, based on eight decks. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 14.33%.

After publishing this page, "MDawg" of the Wizard of Vegas forum noted the Cosmopolitan in Las Vegas pays only 20 to 1 on the Small Tiger. As the following return table shows, this increases the house edge to 21.78%.

Small Tiger Return Table — Stingy Version

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Win 20 186,173,936,904,192 0.037247 0.744934
Loss -1 4,812,224,338,599,170 0.962753 -0.962753
Total   4,998,398,275,503,360 1.000000 -0.217819

Later, in January 2024, I had an unconfirmed report that the Crown casino in Sydney, Australia, pays 23 to 1 on the Small Tiger. This would result in a house edge of 10.61%.

The following table shows my analysis of the Big Tiger side bet, based on eight decks. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 15.25%.

Big Tiger Return Table

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Banker win with three-card total of six 50 83,058,367,551,488 0.016617 0.830850
All other outcomes -1 4,915,339,907,951,870 0.983383 -0.983383
Total   4,998,398,275,503,360 1.000000 -0.152533

The following table shows my analysis of the Tiger side bet, based on eight decks. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 16.68%.

Tiger Return Table

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Banker win with three-card total of six 20 83,058,367,551,488 0.016617 0.332340
Banker win with two-card total of six 12 186,173,936,904,192 0.037247 0.446961
All other outcomes -1 4,729,165,971,047,680 0.946136 -0.946136
Total   4,998,398,275,503,360 1.000000 -0.166836

The following table shows my analysis of the Tiger Tie side bet, based on eight decks. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 30.74% (ouch!).

Tiger Tie Return Table

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
6-6 tie 35 96,170,001,308,416 0.019240 0.673406
All other outcomes -1 4,902,228,274,194,940 0.980760 -0.980760
Total   4,998,398,275,503,360 1.000000 -0.307354

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